A GREAT FRIDAY AND A COOLER WEEKEND
5:35 AM February 17, 2012

Happy Friday to all and what a great weather forecast I have for everyone. Firstly, the WIND ADVISORIES will likely expire by noon today. ***UPDATE, WIND ADVISORIES in Los Angeles and Ventura Counties have been called off early 6:20 AM**** Secondly, offshore Santa Ana Winds are giving us warmer temperatures and blue skies. Daytime highs will range from the upper 60's along the coast, to the lower 70's in the warmer Valleys. It will continue to be a little breezy, but nothing like yesterday's wind storm.
Tomorrow, a Trough of Low Pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest and pushes High Pressure out of the area. This will lead to increasing cloudiness and cooler temperatures. Numbers will drop by about 5 to 8 degrees with Los Angeles reaching 63 and the Valleys warming to the mid 60's. Skies will start out clear and, during the afternoon, they will become partly cloudy.
Overnight Saturday, a weak cold front will drop through California. This will give us a slight chance of drizzle or light rain extending into Sunday morning. Currently it does not appear that we'll see any significant accumulation of rain or snow, just enough to wet streets and gloom up the morning. The rest of our Sunday will be mostly to partly cloudy with cool temperatures. Temperatures will be fairly cool; especially in the Inland Empire, where highs will top out in the upper 50's. Here in the Basin the high will be 62 degrees. Expect winds to increase during the afternoon hours.
On Presidents Day, the weather is going to be partly cloudy with highs topping out in the low to mid 60's for most of Southern California.
Have a safe and happy weekend!
Posted by Warren Hohmann | Permalink
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STRONG WINDS
6:03 AM February 16, 2012
Strong winds have developed in the wake of yesterday's cold Low. A WINTER STORM WARNING continues for the Inland Mountain Ranges through this morning. Snow will mostly be on the light side; however the HIGH WIND WARNING is generating blowing snow and hazardous conditions. HIGH WINDS also extend down into the Inland Empire and across Orange County. These will expire this afternoon at 1 PM. Los Angeles and Ventura Counties have WIND ADVISORIES for the valleys and coastal areas lasting until 2 PM. The strongest gusts will occur through and below the passes and canyons - Reaching 55 to 60 MPH.
Early this morning there are still a few lingering showers over the Southeastern California. Most of the Southland, is dry and cool. Today expect mostly sunny skies and warming temperatures. Daytime highs will jump about 10 degrees near the coast. Los Angeles should reach 69, as will the San Fernando Valley. The Inland Empire will see cooler numbers, as is the case with Santa Ana type winds - Look for numbers this afternoon in the low to mid 60's.
Tomorrow - Happy Friday - look for a sunny and warmer day. By this time the winds will diminish and we may even see a little on shore breezes develop late in the day. High temperatures will mostly range from the upper 60's to the lower 70's. Mostly clear skies are forecast to continue through the evening. We'll see increasing cloud cover overnight into Saturday morning.
This weekend, cooler and cloudier weather is expected, as a Trough of Low Pressure passes through the Pacific Northwest. Temperatures are going to dip below seasonal averages both days. By Sunday morning patchy drizzle may develop under a thick marine layer. Partly cloudy skies will prevail by the afternoon.
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Another Cold and Windy Storm
7:01 AM February 15, 2012
Greeting's, today we're going to experience another cold and windy storm system. This morning a weak cold front is pushing into Southern California. With the front, we'll see scattered showers and gusty winds. Then, this afternoon, the cold pool of air traveling with the Low descends on the region. Our best shot of rain and isolated thunderstorms will be with this cold, destabilizing air-mass.
Rainfall totals will be on the light side - At the low end around a tenth of an inch and at the upper end perhaps as much as a quarter inch.
Snowfall totals of two to four inches will be possible above 4,000 feet.
A WIND ADVISORY goes into effect at noon for the coastal areas, the valleys and for the Antelope Valley, lasting through 9 PM this evening.
A HIGH WIND WATCH goes into effect late tonight and extends through Friday for the Mountains of Southern California and for the Inland Empire. Strong Santa Ana winds are expected to develop with some gusts reaching 60 MPH.
The Low will continue to wrap around moisture into the Inland Empire late tonight into early tomorrow; however Los Angeles and Ventura will likely be dry by this time. Tomorrow, skies will clear rapidly and strong winds and building High Pressure will drive a quick rebound in temperatures. Look for numbers to cross 70 in Los Angeles. It won't be quite as warm in the Inland Empire, where highs will mostly be in the low to mid 60's.
Friday will be a very nice day with sunny skies and moderating temperatures. This weekend another trough will bring cooler and cloudier weather to Southern California. Presently, the forecast is dry through Washington's Birthday.
Posted by Warren Hohmann | Permalink
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COOL AND BREEZY TODAY
7:07 AM February 14, 2012
Cool and breezy weather is on tap today in Southern California. Yesterday's cold Low is now transiting through Northern Arizona, leaving a few scattered showers in the mountains. By afternoon I'm expecting mostly clear skies; except for lingering clouds along the mountain ranges. Daytime temperatures will continue to run below seasonal levels with Los Angeles rising to the lower 60's. The beaches will mostly settle into highs around 60, while the valleys will range from the upper 50's to the lower 60's.
On the horizon, I'm spying a new weather system moving into the Pacific Northwest. This new Low and Cold Front will drop through the interior West; reaching Southern California tomorrow afternoon. It does appear the metropolitan area will get some rain; although this system will be moisture starved. A quarter inch looks to be the average accumulation, so a little more than yesterday's storm. Other factors, associated with this Low, will be the wind and the cold temperatures. Daytime highs will top out in the mid to upper 50's for most areas beyond the Mountains and Deserts.
A HIGH WIND WATCH is in effect tomorrow and Thursday for the Inland Mountains, the Inland Empire and for Orange County. We could see winds approaching Hurricane force in these areas.
Thursday we'll see rapid clearing with wind conditions and cool temperatures. Any precipitation should end first thing in the morning. Daytime highs will push back into the upper 60's for most of the metropolitan and valley cities. This warmer weather will hold through Saturday. After that, we'll shift back into a partly cloudy and cooler regime.
Have a great Tuesday!!!
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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
7:48 AM February 13, 2012
Today's weather features scattered showers early, with a chance of thunderstorms later today. A cold Low Pressure along with a weak Cold Front are currently pushing into California. The Front is washing out as it crosses into Southern California. We're seeing showers moving into the valleys and the mountains. Look for this activity to spread across the region this morning. Rainfall will be hit or miss this morning with accumulations less than a tenth of an inch.



This afternoon the cold core of the Low is forecast to pass just inland of the Southland. This will destabilize the atmosphere further, adding the chance of thunderstorms to the forecast. Again, beimg moisture starved, these will be hit or miss; however if your are under one of them expect brief heavy downpours, small hail and gusty winds. Rainfall totals could hit a quarter inch under one of these cells. Cool temperatures will spread out across the map today. Most highs will only reach the upper 50's.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY is in effect for the Mountains this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds and blowing snow will make travel hazardous. Accumulations of 2 to 4 inches is possible even down to 3,000 feet; especially as the cold Low arrives later today.
A WIND ADVISORY and a HIGH WIND WARNING are in effect for the Mountains and for the Deserts of Southern California. Gusts could top 60 MPH in the mountain passes and canyons.
This evening and tonight a few showers could linger over the region with perhaps even a thunderstorm or two rattling around. By morning I'm expecting lingering snow showers in the high country and a few isolated showers lingering inland. These should wrap up quickly tomorrow morning and then we'll have partly cloudy skies for the remainder of the day. Temperatures will range from the upper 50's to the mid 60's.
Wednesday, another Storm System will move into California, bringing a slight risk of showers and more cold air. After that, expect a break and a little warming trend through Friday. There is another shot at rain showing up on Sunday's forecast.
Hope you all have a terrific Monday.
Posted by Warren Hohmann | Permalink
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PATTERN SHIFT TODAY
6:39 AM February 10, 2012

Happy Friday everyone, today we're seeing a pattern shift begin as High Pressure gives way to a Trough of Low Pressure. Already you are going to notice that temperatures will be cooler across the board. Also, later today the sea breeze will get going and this will hold back afternoon highs. Daytime numbers will range from the mid 60's at the beaches to the mid 70's in the Valleys.
This evening and overnight, winds will be on the increase in the Antelope Valley and in the Mountains. Also, an Eddy Circulation is going to spin up low clouds, drizzle and fog over much of the Basin and Valleys. These will linger West of the Mountains through much of the day. Meanwhile, a weather system will skirt through Nevada and this may kick off an isolated shower in our interior Mountains. WIND ADVISORIES will likely be needed in the Mountains and in the Deserts.
 Thus Saturday will be fairly active weather-wise. The image above, from our Microcast model, shows marine layer clouds lingering well into the afternoon. All of us will have a slight chance of a showers; however the computer models hold this activity inland. By tomorrow evening skies will clear out.
Sunday, a weak ridge of High Pressure bubbles up. It won't be enough to keep skies from being partly cloudy and it will do little to warm temperatures. Look for highs to range from the upper 50's in the Inland Empire to the mid 60's here in metro LA and OC.
Monday and Tuesday, I have prepared our 7 Day Outlooks with a chance of showers. However, each computer model is offering a unique interpretation of how this storm evolves through the region. With that in mind, I recommend that you be prepared for wet and cool weather both days. As for specifics, we're going to have to wait for later model runs to align.
Have a great weekend!
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FANTASTIC WEATHER TODAY
5:53 AM February 9, 2012

Today we're going to have fantastic weather with plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures. A couple of Highs have ridged across the West, setting up a good offshore flow and allowing the mercury to zoom above average. This morning we are not under any WIND ADVISORIES; however gusty northeast winds are surging through the canyons and below some of the passes. The winds will relax during the day and then they'll kick up again this evening. Daytime highs are going to push up to 81 degrees on the coastal plain. Elsewhere look for temperatures mostly in the upper 70's to near 80.
Tomorrow will be another very nice day across Southern California. High Pressure will still be in control of our weather; however it will push to the east. This will set up a rather speedy transition to cooler weather by Saturday. In fact, by tomorrow evening, a Cold Front is forecast to sweep through California. This will flip gradients back to onshore and cooling will rush inland.
Saturday will be drastically different with morning clouds and fog with a chance of drizzle or sprinkles. By afternoon skies will be partly to mostly cloudy. Temperatures will only warm into the upper 50's to lower 60's for most areas. It'll be windy in the mountains and deserts with breezy conditions elsewhere.
Sunday, a weak ridge bumps up behind the Front. This will keep it dry across the Southland, but skies are forecast to be partly cloudy.
Monday and Tuesday looks to be interesting, weather wise. I am waiting for the computer weather models to come into basic agreement before I go out on a limb with rainfall outlooks.
Have a great day!

Posted by Warren Hohmann | Permalink
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RAIN DISAPPOINTS
6:37 AM February 8, 2012

Yesterday's rain was a disappointment on so many levels. By now I should be well aware of Cut-Off Low shenanigans, but the forecast seemed fairly straight forward. However, the Low took a southerly dip and is now pushing over Baja, Mexico. This path, along with drying southeasterly winds being drawn into the Low, kept most of the moisture offshore. In the end, Downtown Los Angeles recorded a paltry one hundredth of an inch of precipitation. What a stinker!
Today, an isolated shower is not out of the question for Southeastern California; however a glance at the Doppler shows mostly dry conditions at the moment. The forecast describes a day with partly cloudy skies, offshore breezes and warmer temperatures. All in all not a bad day considering yesterday's threatening skies.
Thursday and Friday will be absolutely incredible weather days, as Santa Ana Winds clear skies and send temperatures upwards. Look for temperatures to top out in the mid to upper 70's for most of us. It'll be a few degrees cooler at the beaches, but nothing to prevent you from enjoying the sun and sand. Wind Advisories may be needed in the favorable locations.
This weekend, a couple of Troughs will push through the Pacific Northwest; bringing more clouds and cooler temperatures to the Southland. We may have another shot at some wet weather early next week.
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STORM APPROACHING
6:28 AM February 7, 2012



This morning a storm is approaching Southern California. A Cold Front and an area of Low Pressure will bring rain and higher elevation snow to the region through this evening. After that we'll clear out early tomorrow and Santa Ana winds are forecast to return to the region late Wednesday and Thursday.
We're starting out with mostly cloudy skies and mild temperatures. Rainfall is now making its way into Ventura County, a little later than we anticipated yesterday. It will take several hours for the axis of heavier rain to reposition itself over the Los Angeles area. So, look for showers to increase this morning, becoming likely by midday.
The Low itself is now expected to move over San Clemente Island later today; before moving inland overnight. We've seen this scenario play out a couple times already this season and rainfall totals will vary wildly depending on the exact path of the Low. I've posted my graphic for today's estimates (Above). The heaviest rain will likely be over the Santa Barbara and Ventura County Mountains. Otherwise, the coastal areas of Los Angeles and Orange Counties will probably see more rainfall than some of the inland valleys; with the Low tracking slightly south. That said, rainfall will mostly be light to moderate.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY is in play for the Mountains of Los Angeles and Ventura County from noon today through tomorrow morning at 9. Snow will be heaviest above 6,000 feet, but it will dip to around 4,500 late this evening. 3 to 7 inches of the white stuff is forecast. Also, strong winds will contribute to hazardous driving in the mountains.
Tomorrow morning there is a slight chance of lingering showers across southern and inland sections, while snow will also be possible through the interior mountains. The moisture will cut off as the low passes into the Four Corners region. We'll be left with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will not be so bad with highs recovering into the upper 60's for many of us.
Thursday we'll see a classic Santa Ana wind with warmer temperatures and crystal clear skies. Daytime highs will be warmest on the Coastal Plain and into the San Fernando Valley - Look for highs in the upper 70's. Friday will also be very nice, but the winds will likely not be as strong. This weekend, a couple of troughs will pass through the West and this is going to bring seasonal weather to Southern California. At this time no rain is forecast, but that could change.
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STORMY OUTLOOK
7:27 AM February 6, 2012
Finally I have a stormy outlook for Southern California with a complex weather system, over the Eastern Pacific, headed our way. The models are doing there last minute waffling on tomorrow; but it still looks like we're going to have a good shot as some decent rainfall. The problem, this winter, is what happens after the storm passes - We dry out for weeks! Let's hope we're going to shift into a normal rainy pattern.

Out front this morning, a HIGH WIND WATCH is in effect for the Mountains of Los Angeles, Ventura and Santa Barbara Counties for tomorrow day. Wind gusts could top 60 MPH.

STORM OUTLOOK
Tomorrow's storm has the potential to produce some heavy rainfall. This will depend on the path the low takes. For now the range is one quarter to three quarters for the coastal and valley areas. The foothills and the mountains will range from an inch to an inch and a half; local totals could reach two inches along the southerly facing ranges. Snowfall will start out above 7,000 feet and then drop to around 6,000. Amounts look to be in the 3 to 6 inch range.
The Front is forecast to approach Southern California early tomorrow morning. Once the rain starts, showers will likely linger in the area for the entire day before clearing overnight. A few lingering showers may stick around into Wednesday morning; however most of us will already be dry. For the rest of the day we'll see mostly clear skies and slightly warmer temperatures.
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